Guanacasteca vs San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
51.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
5º
11º
7º
29
6º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guanacasteca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 1
GUA
58%
23%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
PFC
28%
28%
44%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
GUA
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 1
SPO
18%
26%
56%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
PER
2 - 1
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
GUA
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAP
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CSC
0 - 0
SAN
56%
24%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |