Guanacasteca vs CS Herediano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.2%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
37.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
8º
11º
8º
14
5º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
18 | 42 |
1º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 41 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 41 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 37 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 35 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 35 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 32 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
11 | 29 |
8º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 21 |
9º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 18 |
10º
|
39.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 15 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 15 |
12º
|
50% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
9.5% | 34.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 65.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guanacasteca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
SAP
3 - 1
GUA
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 3
SAN
40%
27%
34%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LDA
5 - 0
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
GUA
4 - 0
PER
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 1
GUA
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CS Herediano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
CSH
2 - 0
PFC
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
PER
0 - 0
CSH
21%
27%
52%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SAP
1 - 1
CSH
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
TIJ
4 - 0
CSH
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
CSH
1 - 0
LDA
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |