Guanacasteca vs Deportivo Saprissa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
55.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
4º
11º
5º
55
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guanacasteca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
CSC
1 - 0
GUA
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAN
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
GRE
38%
27%
36%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
PFC
1 - 1
GUA
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
SAP
2 - 1
SPO
65%
21%
15%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
SAP
1 - 0
CSH
62%
20%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
SAP
3 - 1
LDA
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
LDA
1 - 0
SAP
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
SAP
1 - 0
LDA
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |