Guanacasteca vs LD Alajuelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
34.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
11º
5º
46
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guanacasteca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
GUA
26%
26%
48%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 1
PFC
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CSH
2 - 1
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
GUA
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 0
MUN
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
LDA
4 - 0
PFC
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
LDA
2 - 0
CSH
50%
26%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 2
LDA
23%
26%
51%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
LDA
1 - 0
SPO
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SAP
3 - 0
LDA
53%
24%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |