Costa Rica Cup Last 16
Global 1-3
Guanacasteca vs LD Alajuelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
68.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guanacasteca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
LDA
2 - 1
GUA
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
CSC
15%
22%
63%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
SAP
1 - 0
GUA
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
PFC
19%
26%
55%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
4 - 1
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
LDA
2 - 1
GUA
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
LDA
2 - 2
OLI
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
OLI
3 - 2
LDA
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SAP
2 - 0
LDA
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
LDA
2 - 2
RES
49%
24%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |