Guanacasteca vs Santa Ana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
7º
11º
7º
10
8º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
19 | 43 |
1º
|
34% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 42 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 41 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 37 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 35 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 35 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 30 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 29 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 21 |
9º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 21 |
10º
|
29.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 15 |
11º
|
35% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 13 |
12º
|
50% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
8.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guanacasteca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LDA
4 - 0
GUA
63%
21%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
PFC
2 - 1
GUA
27%
24%
49%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
PER
1 - 1
GUA
28%
27%
46%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 3
CSC
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 2
GUA
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Ana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
MUN
26%
25%
49%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
PFC
1 - 2
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
EBC
3 - 2
SAN
50%
22%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 3
SAP
20%
25%
55%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
5 - 1
SAN
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |