Gualdo vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
59.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gualdo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
LOD
3 - 1
GUA
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
GUA
0 - 0
AVE
32%
28%
41%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
CAS
3 - 2
GUA
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
BEN
1 - 1
GUA
57%
23%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
GUA
2 - 0
VIT
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
CRO
3 - 2
NOC
72%
19%
10%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
BEN
1 - 1
CRO
25%
26%
49%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
CRO
1 - 0
PAL
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
CAT
2 - 1
CRO
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
CRO
0 - 0
ASC
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |