Gualdo vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
46.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gualdo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
CRO
3 - 0
GUA
75%
17%
9%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
GUA
0 - 0
LOD
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
AVE
2 - 1
GUA
67%
21%
13%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
GUA
0 - 1
CAS
26%
27%
47%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
GUA
0 - 0
BEN
29%
26%
46%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
CAT
1 - 0
FIA
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
PAL
1 - 1
CAT
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1999 |
CAT
2 - 3
ASC
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
CAT
1 - 1
JUS
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
CRO
1 - 1
CAT
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |