Gualdo vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
62%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gualdo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
NOC
1 - 0
GUA
61%
23%
16%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
GUA
1 - 1
JUS
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
PAL
3 - 1
GUA
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
FIA
0 - 0
GUA
71%
19%
10%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
GUA
2 - 2
ASC
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
ANC
4 - 1
CAS
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
VIT
0 - 1
ANC
21%
24%
55%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
ANC
3 - 1
FIA
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
BEN
0 - 2
ANC
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
ANC
1 - 0
ARZ
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |