Gualan FC vs Deportivo Barberena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
68.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+905%
-54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
18º
20º
19º
4
18º
20º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
20º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 35 |
1º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 33 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 32 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 31 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 31 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 30 |
6º
|
5.5% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 29 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 28 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 27 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 27 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 25 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 25 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 23 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 22 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 22 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 22 |
16º
|
11% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 20 |
17º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
20º
|
4 | 15 |
18º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
19º
|
5 | 12 |
19º
|
29% | |
|
18º
|
8 | 12 |
20º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gualan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GFC
0 - 2
SAN
16%
21%
63%
|
15 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
SLC
5 - 0
GFC
78%
14%
8%
|
15 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GFC
2 - 1
AUR
19%
26%
55%
|
5 | 48 | 43 | +10 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CSC
2 - 1
GFC
83%
11%
6%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
GFC
0 - 3
SAC
13%
19%
68%
|
6 | 46 | 40 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Barberena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
DBC
0 - 3
SAC
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
DBC
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
DBC
1 - 2
UNI
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SLC
4 - 0
DBC
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
DBC
0 - 1
CON
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |