Gualaceo vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
56.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gualaceo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 1
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ORE
4 - 1
GUA
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 1
BSC
23%
28%
49%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
MUS
2 - 0
GUA
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 3
TEC
37%
30%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
UCE
3 - 0
OCT
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
UCE
2 - 0
ORE
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
TEC
1 - 1
UCE
30%
26%
45%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
UCE
1 - 2
AUC
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
IVT
1 - 2
UCE
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |