Gualaceo vs Independiente Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
45.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
8º
6º
57
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gualaceo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 0
GUA
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 2
LFC
55%
26%
20%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
GUA
30%
28%
42%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
CUN
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
RIV
3 - 1
GUA
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
INJ
2 - 0
CSV
66%
22%
12%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
RIV
0 - 0
INJ
47%
27%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
INJ
0 - 1
ESA
70%
20%
10%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
OCT
2 - 2
INJ
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
INJ
1 - 2
MAN
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |