Gualaceo vs Vinotinto Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
28%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
8º
6º
69
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gualaceo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 1
GUA
22%
28%
50%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
RIV
0 - 2
GUA
53%
25%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 2
EME
22%
27%
51%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
NAC
4 - 2
GUA
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 2
DEL
20%
24%
56%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Vinotinto Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
CUN
4 - 1
LFC
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
INJ
2 - 4
CUN
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
CUN
1 - 1
IMB
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 3
CUN
37%
28%
34%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
CUN
2 - 1
MAC
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |