Gualaceo vs Vargas Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
19%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
8º
6º
29
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 67 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 59 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 56 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 55 |
4º
|
40.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 50 |
5º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 50 |
6º
|
48% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 43 |
7º
|
84% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 34 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
9º
|
42.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 31 |
10º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 55% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 45% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gualaceo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
ESA
56%
25%
18%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
INJ
4 - 1
GUA
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
MAN
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
LFC
0 - 1
GUA
30%
29%
42%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
CHA
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
CSV
0 - 0
MAN
26%
31%
43%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
CSV
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
CSV
0 - 0
INJ
22%
30%
48%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
CUN
2 - 0
CSV
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
CSV
0 - 1
OCT
25%
29%
46%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |