Gualaceo vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gualaceo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
AME
3 - 3
GUA
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
LOJ
50%
26%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
LDU
1 - 0
GUA
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
SSR
44%
28%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
MUS
0 - 0
GUA
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
AUC
1 - 2
IMB
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 1
AUC
26%
26%
48%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
AUC
2 - 1
COL
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
OLM
0 - 1
AUC
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
AUC
2 - 3
TEC
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |