Gualaceo vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
38.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
8º
6º
47
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gualaceo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 0
GUA
34%
30%
36%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 1
INJ
26%
29%
45%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 0
GUA
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 2
LFC
55%
26%
20%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
GUA
30%
28%
42%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 2
RIV
39%
28%
34%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
CUN
5 - 2
OCT
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
OCT
2 - 1
ESA
65%
22%
13%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 1
OCT
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 0
CSV
63%
23%
14%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |