Guaireña vs Sportivo Ameliano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
12º
11º
27
3º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaireña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
OLI
33%
26%
41%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
NAC
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
TAC
1 - 3
GUA
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 5
LIB
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Ameliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
AME
0 - 0
GUA
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
AME
2 - 1
TAC
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LIB
3 - 0
AME
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
AME
0 - 1
SPT
49%
24%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |