Guaireña vs Sportivo Ameliano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
32.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
7º
12º
10º
30
4º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaireña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LIB
2 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
21%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
JLM
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 1
GUA
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 2
CCP
35%
29%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
SPT
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Ameliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
AME
2 - 1
SPT
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 1
AME
65%
18%
17%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
TAC
1 - 3
AME
36%
29%
35%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
AME
0 - 0
NAC
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
LQE
1 - 1
AME
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |