Guaireña vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
52.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
7º
12º
10º
31
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaireña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CCP
2 - 0
GUA
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SPT
1 - 0
GUA
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
TAC
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 2
GUA
48%
28%
24%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
LQE
0 - 0
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 2
OLI
49%
24%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 1
SPT
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
TAC
0 - 1
OLI
20%
23%
57%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 0
PAT
61%
22%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
OLI
0 - 1
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |