Guaireña vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
12º
11º
32
3º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaireña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
TAC
1 - 3
GUA
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 5
LIB
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
LQE
1 - 0
GUA
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
GUA
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 4
CCP
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
NAC
4 - 0
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 0
MAR
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 0
OLI
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TAC
0 - 3
NAC
31%
28%
41%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 3
LIB
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |