Guaireña vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
37.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
7º
12º
10º
33
1º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaireña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 3
CCP
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LIB
4 - 2
GUA
54%
25%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
GUA
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 0
GUA
50%
27%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 0
AME
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 1
NAC
51%
24%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 2
AME
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
AME
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
TAC
2 - 1
NAC
27%
27%
46%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 0
GUA
50%
27%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |