Guaireña vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
32.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaireña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
AME
2 - 0
GUA
40%
28%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 1
12O
52%
27%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
RES
1 - 2
GUA
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
SPT
2 - 3
GUA
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 2
JLM
43%
27%
29%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 2
LIB
37%
26%
38%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
NAC
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
CCP
0 - 0
NAC
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
SPC
1 - 3
NAC
5%
13%
83%
|
77 | 15 | 62 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 0
AME
48%
26%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |