Guaireña vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
45.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaireña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 2
LQE
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
ORI
87%
11%
3%
|
73 | 11 | 62 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
3 - 0
GUA
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 1
12O
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
SET
0 - 3
GUA
3%
8%
89%
|
73 | 9 | 64 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 0
LIB
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
RPA
0 - 1
LIB
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
LIB
0 - 3
OLI
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
ATJ
0 - 2
LIB
2%
5%
93%
|
79 | 19 | 60 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
LIB
5 - 0
LQE
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |