Guaireña vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
43.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
12º
11º
32
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaireña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 0
GUA
50%
27%
23%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
TAC
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
LIB
4 - 3
GUA
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
CNA
0 - 3
GUA
4%
12%
84%
|
72 | 8 | 64 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 2
LQE
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
BOT
25%
26%
49%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
OLI
5 - 3
GUA
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 1
GUA
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
TAC
0 - 1
GUA
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |