Guaireña vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
45.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
7º
12º
10º
33
2º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaireña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2023 |
AME
1 - 1
GUA
60%
23%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 2
LIB
24%
26%
50%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
JLM
3 - 0
GUA
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
OLI
23%
25%
53%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CCP
2 - 0
GUA
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2023 |
DAN
0 - 2
GUA
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 2
SPT
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
TAC
1 - 3
GUA
27%
28%
46%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 2
NAC
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
LQE
3 - 0
GUA
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |