Guaireña vs 12 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
17.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaireña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
RPA
0 - 1
GUA
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAC
39%
28%
34%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
LIB
24%
25%
51%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CCP
2 - 2
GUA
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
OLI
0 - 0
GUA
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
12O
2 - 1
LIB
19%
23%
58%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
LQE
1 - 0
12O
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
12O
0 - 5
AME
40%
26%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
12O
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
12O
0 - 2
OLI
19%
22%
58%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |