Guaireña vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
39.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaireña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
AME
0 - 1
GUA
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 2
OLI
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
RPA
1 - 1
GUA
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
LIB
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 2
LQE
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
CCP
2 - 0
RPA
56%
25%
20%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
CCP
0 - 2
AME
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
LIB
0 - 2
CCP
42%
27%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CCP
0 - 1
LQE
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CCP
0 - 0
GUA
42%
27%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |