Guaireña vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
33.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaireña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 1
GUA
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 1
GUA
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 1
AME
57%
25%
18%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
SCI
1 - 1
GUA
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
TAC
0 - 1
GUA
34%
29%
37%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CUE
1 - 1
OCT
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
EME
2 - 1
OCT
59%
21%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
IND
2 - 1
OCT
49%
23%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
OCT
0 - 4
UCE
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
OCT
2 - 2
SCI
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |