Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-4
Guadix CF vs Mármol Macael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
26.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadix CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1993 |
GUA
2 - 2
UDS
68%
21%
11%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
MMA
4 - 0
GUA
69%
20%
11%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1993 |
GUA
1 - 0
ALM
19%
29%
52%
|
23 | 62 | 39 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1993 |
ILI
2 - 1
GUA
46%
30%
25%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1993 |
GUA
2 - 0
BAE
50%
27%
23%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1993 |
MAL
1 - 0
MMA
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
MMA
4 - 0
GUA
69%
20%
11%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1993 |
CDB
1 - 1
MMA
36%
29%
35%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1993 |
MMA
2 - 0
MOT
86%
11%
3%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1993 |
VEL
0 - 0
MMA
35%
30%
35%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |