Guadiaro vs San Bernardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadiaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CDG
0 - 0
GUA
42%
24%
34%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
GUA
4 - 0
BAZ
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ALG
2 - 0
GUA
44%
23%
33%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 2
CDC
73%
15%
12%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
XER
1 - 4
GUA
33%
24%
44%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
San Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CDS
1 - 0
ARC
15%
19%
66%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
ARC
4 - 1
CDS
51%
23%
27%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 1
UDR
29%
23%
49%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
CDS
79%
14%
7%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CDS
0 - 1
JER
21%
24%
56%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |