Guadiana vs Santa Marta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
28.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
SNV
2 - 0
GUA
40%
24%
36%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 2
CPC
58%
21%
22%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
GEV
1 - 0
GUA
35%
25%
40%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 1
CFS
78%
14%
9%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
VAL
0 - 2
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
SMA
3 - 1
COD
62%
20%
18%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CPA
0 - 4
SMA
51%
22%
28%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
LOB
2 - 0
SMA
74%
16%
10%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SMA
1 - 0
SNV
31%
25%
44%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CPC
2 - 0
SMA
35%
24%
41%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |