Guadalupe vs San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadalupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SAP
2 - 0
GUA
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAN
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 1
CSC
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 0
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 2
CSH
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
ADC
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
CSC
1 - 1
SAN
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
GRE
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
PER
2 - 1
SAN
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
SAP
27%
25%
48%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |