Guadalix de la Sierra vs Bustarviejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadalix de la Sierra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
GSI
5 - 1
CFR
35%
23%
42%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ADP
2 - 3
GSI
56%
20%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
GSI
0 - 0
ARB
37%
23%
41%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
PAS
3 - 0
GSI
74%
14%
12%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
GSI
4 - 0
ALI
77%
14%
10%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bustarviejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SAG
1 - 0
BUS
73%
16%
11%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
BUS
1 - 2
MRV
11%
16%
73%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ESP
2 - 1
BUS
61%
19%
19%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
BUS
2 - 4
ACA
45%
23%
32%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
PED
1 - 4
BUS
58%
19%
23%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +2 |