Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
CHI
0 - 3
ATS
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
IRA
1 - 0
CHI
22%
25%
53%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
CHI
0 - 2
TIG
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
PAC
2 - 1
CHI
52%
23%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
CHI
1 - 1
AME
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
PUM
1 - 1
TOL
53%
23%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2001 |
TOL
2 - 1
CAZ
42%
23%
35%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
REB
2 - 0
TOL
16%
24%
60%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2001 |
ATS
0 - 3
TOL
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2001 |
TOL
1 - 1
IRA
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |