Liga MX Finals Cl. Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Chivas Guadalajara vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 3
MON
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 1
CHI
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 1
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 2
CHI
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
CHI
3 - 0
AME
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
TIG
3 - 0
ATS
50%
26%
25%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
MOR
0 - 3
TIG
52%
24%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
JAG
0 - 1
TIG
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
TIG
4 - 2
PAC
38%
27%
36%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PUM
2 - 0
TIG
50%
25%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |