Liga MX Finals Ap. Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Chivas Guadalajara vs Querétaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
QRO
2 - 1
CHI
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 2
PAC
45%
25%
31%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ATS
1 - 1
CHI
36%
28%
36%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 0
TIG
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AME
1 - 3
CHI
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Querétaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
QRO
2 - 1
CHI
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
QRO
3 - 0
EST
41%
24%
35%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
TOL
0 - 1
QRO
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
SNL
2 - 1
QRO
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
QRO
1 - 0
CAZ
28%
26%
46%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |