Liga MX Finals Ap. Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Chivas Guadalajara vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
PUM
1 - 0
CHI
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 0
CAZ
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
QRO
1 - 2
CHI
29%
28%
43%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CHI
0 - 4
TIG
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PUE
0 - 2
CHI
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
PUM
1 - 0
CHI
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
PUM
3 - 0
ATS
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
LEO
1 - 1
PUM
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NEC
1 - 0
PUM
28%
27%
46%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
PUM
0 - 1
MON
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |