Liga MX Finals Cl. Semi-finals
Global 4-4
Chivas Guadalajara vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2006 |
CHI
0 - 0
VEL
45%
27%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
JAG
2 - 4
CHI
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2006 |
CHI
2 - 3
JAG
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
SFE
3 - 1
CHI
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
CHI
0 - 2
TOL
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2006 |
PAC
3 - 1
MOR
48%
27%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2006 |
MOR
2 - 1
PAC
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
CAZ
3 - 2
PAC
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
PAC
0 - 0
VER
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
SNL
2 - 3
PAC
31%
25%
44%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |