Chivas Guadalajara vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
LEO
1 - 2
CHI
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
CHI
2 - 2
PUM
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2001 |
CAZ
2 - 3
CHI
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2001 |
CHI
1 - 1
REB
84%
12%
4%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1998 |
VAS
2 - 0
CHI
80%
12%
8%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
NEC
2 - 2
TOR
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2001 |
MON
1 - 1
NEC
53%
23%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
NEC
2 - 2
TOL
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2001 |
PUE
1 - 1
NEC
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2000 |
RMA
1 - 1
NEC
86%
10%
4%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | +2 |