Chivas Guadalajara vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 1
CAZ
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 2
CHI
46%
27%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 1
SAN
35%
26%
40%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
VEL
3 - 0
CHI
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 0
SNL
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CSC
0 - 2
DEF
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
DEF
2 - 2
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
JUN
0 - 2
DEF
25%
27%
49%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
DEF
2 - 0
QUI
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2012 |
DEF
0 - 3
VEL
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |