Chivas Guadalajara vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
CHI
0 - 3
ATS
56%
23%
22%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
CFC
0 - 0
CHI
37%
25%
37%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
MOR
2 - 0
CHI
42%
25%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
SAO
1 - 2
CHI
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
CHI
3 - 2
PAC
43%
25%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
CIE
1 - 1
MEL
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
CIE
0 - 2
SAO
25%
24%
51%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
CIE
0 - 1
UNI
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
CFC
4 - 0
CIE
48%
24%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
ALI
3 - 1
CIE
40%
27%
34%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |