Chivas Guadalajara vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
TOL
2 - 1
CHI
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
CHI
0 - 4
PAC
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
ATL
1 - 1
CHI
52%
23%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2004 |
ATS
3 - 3
CHI
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 1
ATS
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
CIE
2 - 2
ALI
55%
23%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2004 |
ALI
3 - 3
CIE
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
BOL
1 - 1
CIE
37%
25%
37%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
CIE
4 - 0
VAL
63%
21%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
CAU
4 - 1
CIE
26%
26%
49%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |