Chivas Guadalajara vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
MON
3 - 0
CHI
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
CHI
0 - 3
TOL
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
NEC
0 - 1
CHI
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
CHI
2 - 2
LEO
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
PUM
2 - 2
CHI
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
TOR
1 - 3
PUE
39%
25%
35%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
TOR
0 - 1
MON
33%
25%
41%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
TOL
0 - 1
TOR
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
TOR
2 - 2
NEC
28%
26%
47%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
LEO
1 - 1
TOR
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |