Guadalajara Promesas vs El Casar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadalajara Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AZU
0 - 2
GPR
50%
21%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
GPR
2 - 1
JDO
77%
14%
10%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
REC
1 - 2
GPR
24%
22%
55%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
VSA
3 - 3
GPR
13%
17%
70%
|
19 | 6 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
GPR
7 - 2
TRE
60%
18%
22%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
El Casar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
4 - 0
YEP
49%
23%
28%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 3
AZU
23%
25%
53%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
JDO
0 - 3
CAS
67%
19%
15%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
REC
0 - 0
CAS
65%
19%
16%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 0
VSA
48%
23%
30%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +2 |