Guaçuano vs São Bento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
48.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaçuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
4 - 1
MAR
33%
24%
43%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
SVA
1 - 0
GUA
24%
24%
53%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
INT
2 - 1
GUA
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 2
SER
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
FRA
1 - 0
GUA
37%
26%
38%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
São Bento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 1
FRA
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
3 - 0
SEP
54%
23%
22%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
TAU
1 - 2
SAO
36%
24%
40%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
RIO
41%
25%
35%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
BAT
44%
24%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |