Guaçuano vs Rio Preto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
35.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaçuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 0
FLA
9%
16%
75%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SJS
1 - 2
GUA
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
VOT
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
ITA
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
3 - 2
GUA
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Preto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
JUV
4 - 1
RIO
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 3
ITU
26%
26%
48%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
FER
1 - 1
RIO
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 1
FER
44%
27%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
ITU
2 - 1
RIO
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |