Guaçuano vs Itapirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaçuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
3 - 2
GUA
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 1
GUA
59%
22%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAO
29%
23%
48%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
4 - 1
MAR
33%
24%
43%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
SVA
1 - 0
GUA
24%
24%
53%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
SJS
0 - 1
ITA
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 0
SAO
32%
23%
45%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
INT
2 - 1
ITA
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ITA
1 - 0
SER
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
VOT
2 - 0
ITA
49%
24%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |