Guabirá Santa Cruz vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
9º
15º
14º
35
2º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guabirá Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 2
IND
41%
25%
35%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
NAC
3 - 0
GUA
64%
20%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
STR
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
AUR
2 - 1
GUA
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 2
ABB
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
OPE
0 - 2
ABB
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
OPE
5 - 0
AUR
47%
27%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
OPE
4 - 2
DRT
41%
28%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BOL
2 - 0
OPE
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
OPE
2 - 2
NAC
37%
27%
37%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |