Guabirá Santa Cruz vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guabirá Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
STR
1 - 0
GUA
77%
14%
9%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 2
RPO
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SBW
0 - 2
GUA
59%
22%
18%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 3
BOL
24%
25%
51%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 2
UNI
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
AUR
0 - 0
BOL
27%
24%
49%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
STR
3 - 2
AUR
76%
15%
9%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
AUR
1 - 2
RPO
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 3
AUR
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
OPE
3 - 1
AUR
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |