Guabirá Santa Cruz vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guabirá Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 2
REA
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2010 |
BLO
4 - 1
GUA
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAN
22%
24%
54%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
STR
2 - 1
GUA
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
REA
3 - 0
GUA
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
JWI
2 - 2
AUR
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 1
UNI
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
AUR
1 - 1
STR
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 0
BLO
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
AUR
1 - 2
JWI
41%
27%
33%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |